Aalborg 1-0 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
14%
4.77
X/2
6%
7.77
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
8%
22.65
2/2
12%
5.52
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.94/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.54
+39% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.8 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Hillerod
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 389
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2026 Aalborg Aalborg 3-3 HT 0-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
26.07.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 2-2 HT 1-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
16.03.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-2 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
27.08.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
1-0
AWAY Hillerod
1.54 xG 0.99
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 341
29 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Aalborg vs Hillerod
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aalborg edged past Hillerod 1-0 in the Denmark 1st Division on 24 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.54 to 0.99.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aalborg have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Aalborg and 1.50 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Hillerod?

Aalborg 1-0 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 50%, draw 23%, Hillerod 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
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