Polonia Bytom 4-3 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.48/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.22
-11% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POLK
23.04.2014 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-3 HT 0-2 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
4-3
AWAY Warta Poznan
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom edged past Warta Poznan 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonia Bytom and 1.50 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan?

Polonia Bytom 4-3 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 49%, draw 23%, Warta Poznan 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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