Warta Poznan 0-1 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
53%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 55%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-100% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -56%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20 Total Shots 15
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
23.04.2014 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-3 HT 0-2 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Polonia Bytom
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom squeezed past Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 48% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 24%, draw 23%, Polonia Bytom 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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