Goczałkowice 3-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.8pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.2pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goczałkowice EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goczałkowice
3-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 22
10 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goczałkowice vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goczałkowice beat Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Stal Stalowa Wola carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Goczałkowice had 50% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 50%, shots finished 19-22.

What was the final score of Goczałkowice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Goczałkowice 3-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goczałkowice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Goczałkowice 26%, draw 16%, Stal Stalowa Wola 58%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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