Stal Rzeszow 0-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 53%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Korona Kielce
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.08.2022 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 3-3 HT 3-3 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
0-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce edged past Stal Rzeszow 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 43% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 57%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Korona Kielce?

Stal Rzeszow 0-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 29%, draw 24%, Korona Kielce 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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