Polonia Sroda 1-3 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Sroda EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Sroda
1-3
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Sroda vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz got the better of Polonia Sroda 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polonia Sroda had 50% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 50%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of Polonia Sroda vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Polonia Sroda 1-3 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Sroda vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Polonia Sroda 28%, draw 29%, Olimpia Grudziadz 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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