Dumbarton vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dumbarton v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals
Dumbarton vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
2-0
HT 1-0
Arbroath
İK1
3-1
HT 0-1
Dumbarton
İK1
1-1
HT 0-1
Arbroath
İK1
1-1
HT 1-1
Arbroath
İK1
1-2
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
Dumbarton and Arbroath shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dumbarton and 1.17 for Arbroath.
What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Arbroath?
Dumbarton 2-2 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Arbroath?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 41%, draw 23%, Arbroath 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.