Stenhousemuir 3-2 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
35%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.35/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.24
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cove Rangers
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
04.09.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
29.02.2020 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
14.12.2019 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
05.10.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 3-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
15.08.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-2 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCK
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir nicked a narrow win over Cove Rangers 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.80 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Stenhousemuir 3-2 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 31%, draw 25%, Cove Rangers 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cove Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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