Forfar Athletic 0-3 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 29% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.72/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.61
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
09.04.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
31.01.2022 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-3 HT 0-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
17.12.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-4 HT 0-3 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
07.08.2021 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
03.04.2021 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İKK
11.03.2017 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City ran out comfortable winners over Forfar Athletic 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Forfar Athletic at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.50 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Forfar Athletic 0-3 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 51%, draw 27%, Edinburgh City 22%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Forfar Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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