Stranraer 1-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
34%
-8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.18/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.43
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2 Corners 4
16.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.01.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
05.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
22.04.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
18.02.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer and Elgin City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stranraer and 1.00 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Stranraer 1-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 45%, draw 30%, Elgin City 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stranraer), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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