Hessen Kassel 2-1 Villingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Villingen EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hessen Kassel
2-1
AWAY Villingen
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel squeezed past Villingen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hessen Kassel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hessen Kassel had 47% of the ball to Villingen's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Villingen?

Hessen Kassel 2-1 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Villingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 48%, draw 27%, Villingen 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hessen Kassel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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