Würzburger Kickers 1-4 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2024

Würzburger Kickers
1-4 HT 0-1
Bayern München II
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Würzburger Kickers vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
48%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.9pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Würzburger Kickers v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.45
-33% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Würzburger Kickers vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
312 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 1-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 2-2 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-0 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
22.12.2019 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers AL3
20.07.2019 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-1 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II AL3
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II swept aside Würzburger Kickers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Würzburger Kickers carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 1.00 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Bayern München II?

Würzburger Kickers 1-4 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 57%, draw 21%, Bayern München II 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
24 Aug 2024
14:00 Greifswalder SV vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Bamberg vs Illertissen Analysis →
15:00 Wiedenbrück vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Sportfreunde Lotte Analysis →
15:00 Hankofen-Hailing vs Schwaben Augsburg Analysis →