Chemnitzer FC U19 2-4 Erzgebirge Aue U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.96
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
26%
-6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemnitzer FC U19
2-4
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue U19
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue U19 saw off Chemnitzer FC U19 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Chemnitzer FC U19 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chemnitzer FC U19 had 49% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue U19's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19?

Chemnitzer FC U19 2-4 Erzgebirge Aue U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC U19 56%, draw 25%, Erzgebirge Aue U19 19%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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