Ingolstadt U19 1-2 Ulm U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

Ingolstadt U19
1-2 HT 1-2
Ulm U19
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Germany - U19 Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt U19 vs Ulm U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
41%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt U19 v Ulm U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt U19 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.91/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
-32% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
510 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 3.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt U19 vs Ulm U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm U19 nicked a narrow win over Ingolstadt U19 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ingolstadt U19 at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt U19 vs Ulm U19?

Ingolstadt U19 1-2 Ulm U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt U19 vs Ulm U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt U19 65%, draw 16%, Ulm U19 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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