Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.26
Over 2.5
23%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.75
No
75%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.2pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.9pp
77%
Under 2.5
76%
+0.8pp
23%
Over 2.5
24%
-0.8pp
25%
BTTS Yes
32%
-7.2pp
75%
BTTS No
68%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
0.26/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.76
-73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
0W-1D-2L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
07.04.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
25.04.2009 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
25.10.2008 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi and San Martin Tucuman shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (77%) landed while no to both teams scoring (75%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.67 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martin Tucuman?

Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 37%, draw 27%, San Martin Tucuman 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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