Deportivo Riestra 2-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.12.2020 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-2 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
2-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.88 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
167 Passes 178
63% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra squeezed past CA Sarmiento 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Riestra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 47% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 53%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.88 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs CA Sarmiento?

Deportivo Riestra 2-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 44%, draw 34%, CA Sarmiento 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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