Al Ain 5-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.88
2-3 Goals
36%
2.42
4-5 Goals
29%
2.35
6+ Goals
14%
3.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
2.18/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.86
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.6 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.38 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
419 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
20.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
09.04.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
01.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
04.11.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 2-1 HT 0-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
05.02.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
5-1
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.57 xG 0.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
512 Passes 316
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain cruised past Khorfakkan 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Ain had 59% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 41%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ain and 0.50 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Khorfakkan?

Al Ain 5-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 55%, draw 20%, Khorfakkan 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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