Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

Lierse Kempenzonen
3-2 HT 2-1
RFC Seraing
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Seraing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lierse Kempenzonen v RFC Seraing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.71/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.77
+23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.8 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Seraing Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 0.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 391
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
21.10.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
17.04.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
28.02.2021 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
07.11.2020 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
27.09.2020 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-5 HT 0-2 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 RFC Seraing — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3-2
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.59 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen edged past RFC Seraing 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lierse Kempenzonen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 52% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 48%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.33 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Seraing?

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 48%, draw 27%, RFC Seraing 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✗ Under 2.5
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