Madura United 0-1 Persita Tangerang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 31%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.56/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.77
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Persita Tangerang
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
216 Passes 377
06.03.2024 Madura United Madura United 3-2 HT 2-2 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
01.09.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-3 HT 1-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.02.2023 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.02.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
06.11.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-2 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persita Tangerang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persita Tangerang edged past Madura United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Madura United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Madura United and 1.17 for Persita Tangerang.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persita Tangerang?

Madura United 0-1 Persita Tangerang in the Indonesia League 1 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persita Tangerang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Madura United 49%, draw 26%, Persita Tangerang 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Madura United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madura United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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