VIFK Vaasa 2-3 OLS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.93
2-3 Goals
46%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
9%
7.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.93 — our 22% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY OLS EU Bookmakers 70%
+76% / +76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +82%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VIFK Vaasa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY OLS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
03.07.2024 OLS OLS 2-2 HT 0-2 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİN3
12.08.2023 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 0-5 HT 0-2 OLS OLS FİNKAK
21.05.2023 OLS OLS 2-0 HT 1-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
24.07.2022 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 1-1 HT 0-1 OLS OLS FİNKAK
08.05.2022 OLS OLS 0-1 HT 0-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
26.09.2021 OLS OLS 5-2 HT 2-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
POST-MATCH VIFK Vaasa vs OLS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OLS edged past VIFK Vaasa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had OLS as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OLS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VIFK Vaasa and 2.50 for OLS.

What was the final score of VIFK Vaasa vs OLS?

VIFK Vaasa 2-3 OLS in the FİN3 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VIFK Vaasa vs OLS?

Before kick-off our model rated an OLS win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split VIFK Vaasa 23%, draw 23%, OLS 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OLS) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OLS) ✗ BTTS No
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