EPS 0-5 RoPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 24 Aug 2024

EPS
0-5 HT 0-3
RoPS
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
8%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 21% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RoPS EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RoPS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.06.2024 RoPS RoPS 2-1 HT 0-0 EPS EPS FİN2
POST-MATCH EPS vs RoPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RoPS swept aside EPS 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was EPS at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of EPS vs RoPS?

EPS 0-5 RoPS in the FİN3 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs RoPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split EPS 53%, draw 24%, RoPS 23%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EPS)
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