Oulu 0-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 Aug 2024

Oulu
0-1 HT 0-1
Haka
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.52
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.33
X/2
8%
5.83
X/X
15%
4.44
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.17/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.21
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.7 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Haka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
422 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Haka Haka 4-3 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.01.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
21.10.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
01.07.2023 Oulu Oulu 3-0 HT 3-0 Haka Haka FİN
31.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİK
14.04.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-1
AWAY Haka
0.43 xG 0.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
230 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka edged past Oulu 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Haka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Oulu had 48% of the ball to Haka's 52%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.43 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Haka?

Oulu 0-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oulu 40%, draw 31%, Haka 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oulu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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