Saint-Etienne 0-2 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
11%
7.33
X/X
14%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
9%
5.92
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.84
+2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
24.2 Crosses 10.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
270 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 2-2 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
20.08.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-6 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
13.05.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 2-4 HT 2-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
06.12.2008 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
21.12.2004 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FRLK
16.05.2004 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
0-2
AWAY Le Havre
1.11 xG 2.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
382 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre beat Saint-Etienne 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Etienne at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 59% of the ball to Le Havre's 41%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.11 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.83 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Le Havre?

Saint-Etienne 0-2 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 46%, draw 27%, Le Havre 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saint-Etienne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5
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