Lyon 0-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Aug 2024

Lyon
0-2 HT 0-0
Monaco
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.64
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
11%
6.17
X/2
15%
5.69
X/X
14%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.26
2/X
4%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +25%
1.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.28
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
13.8 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Lyon vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Monaco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
460 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Lyon Lyon 3-2 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
15.12.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
19.05.2023 Lyon Lyon 3-1 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
11.09.2022 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
05.02.2022 Monaco Monaco 2-0 HT 2-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
16.10.2021 Lyon Lyon 2-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1

Lyon 0-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
0-2
AWAY Monaco
0.03 xG 2.26
39% Ball Possession 61%
1 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
246 Passes 422
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyon vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco got the better of Lyon 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Monaco made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyon had 39% of the ball to Monaco's 61%, shots finished 1-21, expected goals 0.03 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lyon and 1.17 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Lyon vs Monaco?

Lyon 0-2 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lyon 35%, draw 26%, Monaco 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024
20:00 Lille vs Angers Analysis →
22:00 Saint-Etienne vs Le Havre Analysis →