Paju Citizen 1-0 Daegu II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu II EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.00
+33% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Daegu II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.04.2024 Daegu II Daegu II 2-4 HT 1-4 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Daegu II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen nicked a narrow win over Daegu II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Daegu II?

Paju Citizen 1-0 Daegu II in the South Kore - K3 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Daegu II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 52%, draw 28%, Daegu II 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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