Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 35% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.07/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
+1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.9 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 Passes 280
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
09.03.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.09.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
23.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.05.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.09.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
312 Passes 168
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Bucheon 1995 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 60% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 40%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.67 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Bucheon 1995?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 37%, draw 33%, Bucheon 1995 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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