Pohang Steelers 1-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.49
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.59
X/2
16%
5.99
X/X
15%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
27.0
2/2
9%
3.85
2/X
5%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.21/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.11
-17% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Daegu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
574 Passes 212
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-3 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
09.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-1 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
25.11.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
24.09.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
09.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
26.02.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-2
AWAY Daegu
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
493 Passes 232
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu edged past Pohang Steelers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 65% of the ball to Daegu's 35%, shots finished 24-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.17 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Daegu?

Pohang Steelers 1-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 41%, draw 25%, Daegu 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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