Armagh City 3-3 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.51
2-3 Goals
30%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
39%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
47%
Away Win
36%
+11.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +104%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
393 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City and Newry City AFC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newry City AFC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Newry City AFC?

Armagh City 3-3 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 28%, draw 25%, Newry City AFC 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newry City AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
24 Aug 2024
17:00 Ballyclare Comrades vs Annagh United Analysis →
17:00 Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC Analysis →
17:00 Institute FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders Analysis →