Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.37
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+5.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.12/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.92
-35% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-5 HT 0-5 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.12.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
03.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-5 Ards FC Ards FC KILK
14.01.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Ards FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.17 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 32%, draw 23%, Ards FC 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
24 Aug 2024
17:00 Ballyclare Comrades vs Annagh United Analysis →
17:00 Institute FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders Analysis →
17:00 Armagh City vs Newry City AFC Analysis →