Atyrau 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.8pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.02/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.58
-43% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
15.06.2024 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-3 HT 0-2 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
05.08.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-2 HT 2-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
13.05.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 1-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
30.10.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 2-2 HT 1-2 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
20.08.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
30.10.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 3-1 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau nicked a narrow win over Shakhter Karagandy 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atyrau as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atyrau had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atyrau and 1.33 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Atyrau 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 50%, draw 32%, Shakhter Karagandy 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atyrau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atyrau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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