Yelimay Semey 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
-16% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.06.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
08.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey edged past Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yelimay Semey and 0.50 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 51%, draw 23%, Kyzyl-Zhar 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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