Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 57% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 43%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.92 to 0.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Pasto.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 43%, draw 28%, Atletico Bucaramanga 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.