Super Nova 1-0 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.64/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.69
+111% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY JDFS Alberts
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.04.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 0-2 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET1
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova edged past JDFS Alberts 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Super Nova found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs JDFS Alberts?

Super Nova 1-0 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 36%, draw 23%, JDFS Alberts 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
24 Aug 2024
19:00 Skanste vs Riga FC II Analysis →