Tauras Taurage 1-0 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tauras Taurage win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-1.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 15%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
6.03/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.19
+150% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Garliava
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.03.2024 Garliava Garliava 0-0 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage nicked a narrow win over Garliava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Garliava?

Tauras Taurage 1-0 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 68%, draw 19%, Garliava 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
24 Aug 2024
18:00 FK Riteriai vs Atmosfera Analysis →