FK Riteriai 0-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.1pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.46/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.13
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.03.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
0-1
AWAY Atmosfera
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera edged past FK Riteriai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FK Riteriai at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 52% of the ball to Atmosfera's 48%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Atmosfera?

FK Riteriai 0-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 57%, draw 27%, Atmosfera 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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