Diosgyor 1-0 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.93/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.56
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.8 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.07 xG 1.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
08.02.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
01.10.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-1 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
14.02.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-3 HT 0-2 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
18.08.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
07.03.2015 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
1-0
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.39 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
356 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor edged past Kecskemeti TE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diosgyor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 54% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 46%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.39 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Diosgyor and 1.33 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE?

Diosgyor 1-0 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 41%, draw 28%, Kecskemeti TE 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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