Orn Horten 1-2 Kvik Halden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 30% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kvik Halden EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.40/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.36
-35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orn Horten
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kvik Halden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.06.2024 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden 1-0 HT 0-0 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
22.10.2022 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden 1-1 HT 1-1 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
21.05.2022 Orn Horten Orn Horten 3-1 HT 0-0 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orn Horten
1-2
AWAY Kvik Halden
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 16
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Kvik Halden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kvik Halden edged past Orn Horten 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orn Horten at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Orn Horten had 51% of the ball to Kvik Halden's 49%, shots finished 19-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orn Horten and 1.00 for Kvik Halden.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Kvik Halden?

Orn Horten 1-2 Kvik Halden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Kvik Halden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orn Horten win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 52%, draw 22%, Kvik Halden 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orn Horten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orn Horten) ✓ BTTS Yes
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