Lysekloster 1-2 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
17%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.1pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.32/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.25
+9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lysekloster
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Notodden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.04.2024 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 0-1 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
POST-MATCH Lysekloster vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden squeezed past Lysekloster 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lysekloster at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Notodden?

Lysekloster 1-2 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 57%, draw 20%, Notodden 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lysekloster) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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