Notodden 1-1 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

Notodden
1-1 HT 0-1
Lysekloster
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Notodden vs Lysekloster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.59 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
33%
+7.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.8pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Lysekloster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden and Lysekloster shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Lysekloster?

Notodden 1-1 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Notodden 41%, draw 20%, Lysekloster 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Notodden), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notodden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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