Kvik Halden 1-3 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

Kvik Halden
1-3 HT 1-3
Vard Haugesund
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Kvik Halden vs Vard Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 24% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kvik Halden v Vard Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kvik Halden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.95/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.67
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kvik Halden vs Vard Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kvik Halden
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.09.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-2 HT 1-0 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden NOR3
18.06.2022 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden 2-0 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
POST-MATCH Kvik Halden vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund saw off Kvik Halden 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kvik Halden at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kvik Halden had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kvik Halden and 1.00 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Kvik Halden vs Vard Haugesund?

Kvik Halden 1-3 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kvik Halden vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kvik Halden win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kvik Halden 44%, draw 28%, Vard Haugesund 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kvik Halden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kvik Halden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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