Hodd 3-0 Flekkeroy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.08/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.70
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hodd
3-0
AWAY Flekkeroy
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Flekkeroy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd ran out comfortable winners over Flekkeroy 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hodd had 52% of the ball to Flekkeroy's 48%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Flekkeroy?

Hodd 3-0 Flekkeroy in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Flekkeroy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hodd 51%, draw 27%, Flekkeroy 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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