Arendal 1-0 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
30%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
2.16/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.10
+3% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Orn Horten
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Orn Horten Orn Horten 1-3 HT 0-2 Arendal Arendal NOR3
04.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 3-0 HT 3-0 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
13.08.2022 Arendal Arendal 3-2 HT 2-1 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
25.06.2022 Orn Horten Orn Horten 8-1 HT 4-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal edged past Orn Horten 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arendal as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arendal had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Arendal and 2.75 for Orn Horten.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Orn Horten?

Arendal 1-0 Orn Horten in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arendal 57%, draw 23%, Orn Horten 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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