Start II 2-3 Fram Larvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.46
Over 2.5
59%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
25%
+15.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
75%
-15.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Larvik EU Bookmakers 69%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.83/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.62
-48% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fram Larvik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2022 Start II Start II 1-2 HT 1-0 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik NOR4
12.04.2022 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik 5-0 HT 2-0 Start II Start II NOR4
POST-MATCH Start II vs Fram Larvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Larvik nicked a narrow win over Start II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fram Larvik as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fram Larvik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Start II and 3.50 for Fram Larvik.

What was the final score of Start II vs Fram Larvik?

Start II 2-3 Fram Larvik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start II vs Fram Larvik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Larvik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Start II 26%, draw 22%, Fram Larvik 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Larvik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fram Larvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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