Ullern 2-2 Assiden IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
30%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
11.5
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
44%
2.73
4-5 Goals
27%
2.3
6+ Goals
12%
3.09
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.73 — our 44% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.0pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
12%
+17.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.2pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Assiden IF EU Bookmakers 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
4.03/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/3.16
+29% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullern
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Assiden IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2024 Assiden IF Assiden IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Ullern Ullern NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullern
2-2
AWAY Assiden IF
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Assiden IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullern and Assiden IF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Ullern carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ullern had 65% of the ball to Assiden IF's 35%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Assiden IF?

Ullern 2-2 Assiden IF in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Assiden IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ullern 58%, draw 13%, Assiden IF 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ullern), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ullern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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