Nacional Asuncion 3-1 Sol De America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sol De America EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.50/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.34
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sol De America
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 3-0 HT 1-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
09.03.2024 Sol De America Sol De America 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
06.10.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 2-3 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
30.07.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 3-0 HT 2-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
26.04.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-3 HT 0-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
05.02.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3-1
AWAY Sol De America
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sol De America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion beat Sol De America 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 46% of the ball to Sol De America's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Sol De America.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sol De America?

Nacional Asuncion 3-1 Sol De America in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sol De America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 41%, draw 27%, Sol De America 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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