Neftekhimik 1-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.05/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.49
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ural
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
25.09.2018 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-3 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-1
AWAY Ural
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik and Ural shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 49% of the ball to Ural's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Ural?

Neftekhimik 1-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 34%, draw 28%, Ural 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ural), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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