Shinnik 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.46
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
06.11.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 3-3 HT 2-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
22.04.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
01.10.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-1 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
11.04.2021 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
17.10.2020 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 4-4 HT 1-3 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-0
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik nicked a narrow win over Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Shinnik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shinnik had 41% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 59%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shinnik and 2.17 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Shinnik 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 39%, draw 26%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shinnik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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