Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.54/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.36
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Shinnik
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 3-3 HT 2-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
22.04.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
01.10.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-1 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
11.04.2021 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
17.10.2020 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 4-4 HT 1-3 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz and Shinnik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alaniya Vladikavkaz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.60 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Shinnik?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alaniya Vladikavkaz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 46%, draw 26%, Shinnik 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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