Khimki 5-4 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.21/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/1.92
-30% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
5-4
AWAY Sokol Saratov
53% Ball Possession 47%
29 Total Shots 13
15 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki squeezed past Sokol Saratov 5-4. Half-time: 2-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khimki had 53% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 47%, shots finished 29-13.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Sokol Saratov?

Khimki 5-4 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Khimki 57%, draw 24%, Sokol Saratov 19%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ BTTS No
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