Chernomorets 1-2 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2024

Chernomorets
1-2 HT 0-2
Torpedo Moscow
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2023/2024

Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-8.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chernomorets v Torpedo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
0.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.19
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Chernomorets 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Torpedo Moscow made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow?

Chernomorets 1-2 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 33%, draw 32%, Torpedo Moscow 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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